Commodity Research and Reports
The Eurozone and commodity contracts
London, 18 July 2012
The possibility of one or more countries exiting the European Monetary Union (the Eurozone) has been well publicised. It is becoming increasingly important for businesses to understand the implications of different scenarios for the future of the euro. In this first of two alerts from commodity legal specialists Reed Smith, they consider the legal risks for commodity and energy traders, arising from either a Eurozone Exit (i.e. where one Eurozone Member exits the Eurozone) or a Eurozone Break-up (i.e. the disappearance of the euro altogether).
Valuing & Measuring Risk in Portfolios
London, July 2012 - Commodities Now
Accurate valuations and comprehensive risk management can afford significant business benefits to market participants. Operations can be better optimized to become more profitable and views into the company’s enterprise risk profile lead to more informed decision making, enabling market participants to respond to the greater levels of scrutiny that they now face. This article highlights how operations are driven by accurate valuations and risk management, and analyses the three main ways in which these are approached by energy companies.
The Rise & Rise of Forward Curves
London, July 2012 - Commodities Now
The financial, operational and strategic importance of forward curves underlines that organisations need to ensure that transparent and robust curve management and construction methodologies are in place. These need to be allied with well defined quality assurance practices, stewardship and the business investment necessary to maintain these data assets ... while ensuring regulatory and international accountancy standards compliance.
Global economic outlook: Headwinds stiffening
Frankfurt, 16 July 2012
Deutsche Bank have marked down their global forecast: The forecasts for both the euro area and the US have been reduced a bit more than the global average, emerging Asia significantly more, and Japan a good deal less. The downward revisions largely reflect the effects of intensified euro-related uncertainty. These effects can be felt worldwide as evidenced by the global increase in risk aversion and in particular by the decrease in imports to the eurozone, the volume of which is roughly equal to those to the US.
Commodities – Into the Mainstream
London, 10 July 2012
Commodities now serve the dual role of inputs into the production process and financial investment vehicles. Guy Isherwood examines the influence of financial institutions on commodity markets. In a three-part analysis, Guy Isherwood examines the impact of financial institutions moving into commodity markets. Alistair Feeney assesses the effect of tighter regulation, and William Knottenbelt says shifts in financial power make structural change inevitable.
Seasonality in commodity markets
London, 9 July 2012
Clear seasonal swings in commodity markets can be even more pronounced than those that occur in stock markets, according to CMC Markets. “While markets around the world tend to be impacted by similar forces, seasonal factors in commodities can vary dramatically from market to market. Because of this, commodities fluctuate at different times of the year. Distinguishing these trends enables traders to potentially capitalise on the strength of a commodity at a certain point in the year. Likewise, they might avoid the pitfalls of weaker periods and even take advantage of seasonal declines through shorting.”
Are You Limited by Linear Thinking?
San Antonio, 8 July 2012
U.S. Global Investors: Is your portfolio limited by linear thinking? We believe so. Many linear thinkers believe that to solve a problem, you need to follow a simple, logical path, a step-by-step sequence involving two variables. One and one is always two. Here’s a diagram depicting the progression.
Forget QE3, America needs a real road and job stimulus
London, 29 June 2012
EconMatters: How is the condition of roads that you drive On? Well, the roads that I drive on are so bad that they require a large truck or SUV to navigate at anything close to normal speeds. The potholes are alignment killers, and the horrible patches were slapped on so poorly that they become uneven speed bumps. And I reside in one of the top 5 largest cities in the U.S. with a lot of petro money that has done much better than most of other cities (e.g., the newly bankrupt Stockton, CA) during the financial downturn in the economy. It gets better yet; I'm talking about the better part of town instead of the lower revenue districts. So the question is how did we get to this state? And what are the likely solutions?
Read more: Forget QE3, America needs a real road and job stimulus
China eases the way
San Antonio, 9 June 2012
Following negative data last week, investors were clearly concerned about global growth and anxiously anticipated government actions. While Europe and the U.S. disappointed investors, China surprised on the upside by cutting interest rates. The market reacted positively, as the S&P 500 Index increased 3.7 percent.
Good Derivatives: A Story of Financial & Environmental Innovation
London, 31 May 2012
Grantham Research Institute and Department of Management Lecture: Dr Richard Sandor will be presenting his lecture Good Derivatives: A Story of Financial and Environmental Innovation at the London School of Economics and Political Science on Thursday, June 7th 2012 at 6.30 pm.
Read more: Good Derivatives: A Story of Financial & Environmental Innovation
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