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Commodity Research and Reports

Oil volatility, froth and crowded trades

London, 13 May 2011: Reuters

Most analysts have downplayed last week's sudden drop in oil prices and reiterated or even raised their bullish forecasts for the remainder of the year.

Read more: Oil volatility, froth and crowded trades

Commodity price margins: art, science or politics?

New York, 12 May 2011: Reuters

Recent nerve-shattering hikes in the amount of money exchanges require to trade commodities have stoked concerns over an often overlooked cornerstone of managing risk in futures markets: setting effective margins.

Read more: Commodity price margins: art, science or politics?

Commodity markets wobble

London, 6 May 2011: Reuters

Like other humans, market participants and journalists are programmed by evolution to search for patterns and causations to help make sense of the chaotic and often arbitrary nature of events. The bout of cross-market liquidation spreading across commodities in the last 24 hours will send everyone scurrying to identify a specific trigger.

Read more: Commodity markets wobble

Asia's growth to cool as inflation heats up

Singapore, 4 May 2011: Reuters

Soaring food and energy prices may temper Asia's economic outlook this year, putting central bankers in a tight spot as they try to cap inflation without choking off growth, Reuters polling data shows.

Read more: Asia's growth to cool as inflation heats up

Glencore targets $11 bln as IPO draws big guns

London, 4 May 2011: Reuters

Top commodity trader Glencore sought a strong debut for this month's share offering, capping planned proceeds at $11 billion and placing 31 percent with key investors led by Abu Dhabi. The world's largest diversified commodities trader set a 480 to 580 pence per share price range for the London initial public offering (IPO). That values it at 36.5 billion pounds ($60 billion) at the mid-point, which is below the price some analysts say the company is worth, and was seen as an attempt to leave something on the table.

Read more: Glencore targets $11 bln as IPO draws big guns

Diversification matters... but not for risk

London, May 2011

EDHEC-Risk Institute: Since the global financial crisis of 2008, improving risk management practices— management of extreme risks, in particular—has been a hot topic. The post-modern quantitative techniques suggested as extensions of mean-variance analysis, however, exploit diversification as a general method.

Read more: Diversification matters... but not for risk

Gulf gets taste of recovery one year after spill

Louisiana, 21 April 2011: Reuters

A year after the worst U.S. offshore oil spill swamped the Gulf coast with petroleum and misery, officials on Wednesday declared the hard-hit region reborn. It is still too early to know the long-term damage to the Gulf's rich and complex ecosystem. But, so far, predictions made at the height of the spill of an impending environmental Armageddon appear well overstated.

Read more: Gulf gets taste of recovery one year after spill

FTC and CFTC to Share Confidential Information

Washington 19 April 2011

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission signed a memorandum of understanding that will facilitate the sharing of non-public information for “official law enforcement purposes,” and increase investigation risks for firms: McDermott Will & Emery

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IOSCO progresses G20 objectives on commodity markets

Madrid, April 2011

The Technical Committee of the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) has published its Task Force on Commodity Futures Markets - Report to the Financial Stability Board. The Report sets out IOSCO’s current work on the supervision of commodity derivative markets, market transparency, and the ongoing monitoring of developments in OTC financial oil markets.

Read more: IOSCO progresses G20 objectives on commodity markets

Oil market hunts for signs of demand destruction

London, 15 April 2011: Reuters

Demand destruction has taken over from geopolitical risk as the number one concern in the oil market -- as participants assess whether prices have risen enough or must go further to cut demand in line with diminished expectations about supply and spare capacity.

Read more: Oil market hunts for signs of demand destruction